Goldman Sachs made the reversal in the US Dollar official on Friday when analyst Fiona Lake said, “The fundamental picture for the dollar has improved substantially in recent weeks… As a result, we now think the dollar has bottomed.” Obviously, no analyst call makes a technical event official, but Goldman’s track record is impressive and deserves respect. However, the US Dollar Index is approaching important resistance that should yield a pullback. Check out the weekly chart:

There is significant resistance between $77 and $78. A pullback would be healthy and allow the index to gather some energy for its next push higher. A pullback will likely be accompanied by a bounce in commodity prices from short-term oversold conditions. This dollar pullback and commodity bounce could begin as early as Monday of this week. When this comes to frution, expect the S&P to pullback with the dollar.


One Response to “US Dollar Approaching Resistance”

  1. Richard commented:

    In the linked article entitled ‘Investment Strategies for ‘Peak Dollar’, I write that last week was a parabolic rise in the US Dollar and outside of the Russell 2000, the financial sector, the consumer discretionary, home building a few other consumer sectors, the stock market really wasn’t benefited. And I wrote of many technical factors why the Dollar Rally is over.

    The USD/JPY tonight is turning down; and this is likely to cause EUR/JPY and the world markets to rise.

    With higher commodity currencies, gold is going to rise.
    I recommend that one go long SKF and DGP,
    And I recommend that one go short FXP, and EEV and XHB.

    I also recommend that one invest invest in gold at BullionVault.com and GoldMoney.com

    [Reply]

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