Game Plan


We discuss today’s action, and how today’s confirmation candle of a close below the Bear Stearn’s low may not be a reliable signal. That makes tomorrow’s close critical to keep our call for a bounce in tact and save this market from a technical breakdown. We look at oil, the dollar, QQQQ, LEH, FNM, FRE and more.

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Tuesday’s Game Plan

StockTock has a bullish bias for the market in the short-term.
We will look to accumulate an SSO (L) position below 1335 if there is weakness in early trading.

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Monday’s Trades

Put on an 18% TSO (L) position under $23.50 as it appears to be due for a techincal bounce. It did see some accumulation near the close.

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Friday’s Trades

Covered SDS (L), QID (L), and SKF (L) positions after 2pm. Left some money on the table as I expected a bounce off of 1370.
Put on small short position in oil using the USO ETF as oil appears to be forming an exhaustion top.

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Today’s Trades

* Managed SDS (L) and QID (L) positions. Took 1/2 off during light pre-market trade near support and put back on at higher prices as MA pattern emerged on the ES intra-day.
* Put on small 14% long position in oil using the USO ETF as oil may be setting up for a bounce.

Tomorrow’s Plan

* We are positioned for a move lower in the markets, but have enough cash to add to the position on strength. This market has been volatile so we are prepared for a small rally if it comes.
* I prefer the SDS to the QID because the NASDAQ is much stronger. This may bite me later because perhaps it has the most to fall. But I think exposure to financials is most important. Considering SKF position.
* We have a tight mental stop-loss on the USO (L) position.

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